Estimating Nonlinear Exposure and Event Time Association in the Presence of Exposure Measurement Error
Pub. online: 15 October 2026
Type: Methodology Article
Open Access
Open Access
Area: Statistical Methodology
Accepted
9 July 2026
9 July 2026
Published
15 October 2026
15 October 2026
Abstract
Estimating nonlinear exposure effects in Cox regression models is essential for accurately characterizing exposure–disease relationships, yet the presence of measurement error in exposures poses major challenges. While regression calibration has been widely applied under rare disease assumptions with linear exposure effects, recent work has extended the approach to accommodate quadratic and quantile effects. We generalize this framework to handle arbitrary polynomial and spline-based representations of the exposure effect, thereby enabling flexible modelling of complex nonlinear associations. Our method combines regression calibration with Monte Carlo integration to evaluate the conditional expectation of the hazard function when analytical solutions are unavailable. Furthermore, by stacking the estimating functions from both the Cox regression and measurement error models, we construct a sandwich variance estimator that avoids computationally intensive bootstrap procedures. To facilitate practical use, we implement our approach in the R package NonLinearRC.
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